Tagged: Projection

Brutal Senate Ratings

U.S. Senate 2008 Democrats – 54 Republicans – 44 Independents – 2 Tossup – 0 REPUBLICANS NOT UP FOR RE-ELECTION (26) SAFE REPUBLICAN (6) Ala. (Sessions), Tenn. (Alexander), MS-A (Cochran), S.C. (Graham), WY-A (Enzi),...

Landrieu Inching Toward Safety

U.S. Senate 2008 Democrats – 53 Republicans – 41 Independents – 2 Tossup – 4 REPUBLICANS NOT UP FOR RE-ELECTION (26) SAFE REPUBLICAN (6) Ala. (Sessions), Tenn. (Alexander), MS-A (Cochran), S.C. (Graham), WY-A (Enzi),...

POTUS Map Shows Party Lines Hardening

With the VP picks and the conventions coming up, now would be as good a time as any to update my POTUS projections. In summary, both Obama and McCain picked up ground, but the...

Senate Projections Updated

U.S. Senate 2008 Democrats – 53 Republicans – 42 Independents – 2 Tossup – 3 REPUBLICANS NOT UP FOR RE-ELECTION (26) SAFE REPUBLICAN (6) Ala. (Sessions), Tenn. (Alexander), MS-A (Cochran), S.C. (Graham), WY-A (Enzi),...

Senate Projection – With Stats!

U.S. Senate 2008 Democrats – 53 Republicans – 42 Independents – 2 Tossup – 3 REPUBLICANS NOT UP FOR RE-ELECTION (26) SAFE REPUBLICAN (6) Ala. (Sessions), Tenn. (Alexander), MS-A (Cochran), S.C. (Graham), WY-A (Enzi),...

Projection Change: South Dakota (EC)

There is a new poll out yesterday which placed the POTUS race in South Dakota as a statistical tie, 47-43 for McCain. This is a state that gave 60% of its votes, twice, for...

Electoral College Projection: O 256, M 205

As I promised, I’ve outlined my own Electoral College projection to accompany my Senate projections from last week. I’ve tilted states as much as I thought they’d go, to minimize tossups. But anything in...

Senate Projection – 4 months out

This is the first edition of my monthly “Senate Projections”, a ranking of races as I see them shaking out. Most election analysts like to be uber-cautious, even when they allow for changes and...