McDonnell Is NOT Ahead 55-40
As I posted on DailyKOS yesterday, there’s something odd about the SuveryUSA poll for Virginia’s Governor race. Regardless of how you feel about the political environment or how Deeds is approaching the campaign, the...
Tagged: Polling
Early Voting vs. Exit Polls
There is a lot of talk in this weekend before the election about the long lines and high turnout for early voting. Some polls show the early voters are skewing Democratic. Such as saying...
The Myth of the “Statistical Dead Heat”
From the National Council On Public Polls: Certainly, if the gap between the two candidates is less than the sampling error margin, you should not say that one candidate is ahead of the other....
Stu Rothenberg Doesn’t Know Jack About Polling
Alright, so one of my pet peeves about modern campaigns – and especially modern media coverage of those campaigns – is the relentless obsession over the horserace numbers in polling. Rarely do individual numbers...
Pundits and Polls
From the idiots covering politics for ABC News to the more respected pundits and bloggers like Taegan Goddard, everyone misses a key point about polls. Take Goddard’s latest post about a Zogby poll: A...
Son of a President
Jack Carter, the son of former POTUS Jimmy Carter, is running for the U.S. Senate from Nevada against incumbent Senator Ensign. Nevada is not expected to be among our pick-ups on Election Night, but...
Media Lies
I don’t normally do this, but I think I’ll link up to what DailyKos just pointed out. It seems the media is trying desperately to say Bush’s poll numbers are inching up. But the...
Chafee In Trouble
Okay, so Survey USA has done a nationwide survey of approval ratings for Senators. And the results aren’t all that great for Lincoln Chafee (Rino-RI). I single him out, because his results are interesting,...
