The Movement Lives On
Christian Duque is quite depressed that the Orange and Blue took some deal to save a Senate seat. He still hasn’t explained the terms of it, but if it’s anything like “you drop your complaints and we’ll drop ours”, then I see nothing wrong with it.
He claims O&B is a System Party now. I call bullshit.
Near as I can tell, O&B is the most successful of the more radical GDI parties since Vision ten years ago switched from being coalitional to being solely independent (in Fall 1998, also a good SG election for the opposition). They won a majority of the on-campus seats, which as far as I can tell has never happened before in a fall election, and won part of District D (which has only happened twice before). Their popular vote percentages are equally impressive across the board, although the 70/30 result in A and B is somewhat expected based on those districts.
As for turnout, how did they do? Turnout wasn’t impressively high in the dorms (especially since the switch to each dorm having a separate Senator), but the dorms are the best turnout areas in the fall anyway. District E was also not a surprise – in fact was lower than may be typical. District D was high, but not sky-high (both sides did about 200 votes better than in 2000, but with fewer third-party votes). District C was higher as a percentage, but not too high in total votes (maybe 850 total votes instead of the more typical 600-650 for that district).
The money shot in turnout was really found in District A (2260 votes compared to half that in 2000) and District B (which had a similar doubling of its vote). Hmm, wonder why? Greek party in trouble + SG leaders pissed off at the campus paper = high turnout in the Greek districts.
What does this mean for Spring? The majority party won just 58% of the vote, roughly, despite having firm control of the Greeks, the minorities, and the big establishment organizations.
If the O&B can keep up the enthusiasm (and continue to act like an opposition party instead of a quiet enabler), they stand a good chance at winning – especially if they can further bloody the nose of the Gator Party by peeling off a segment of the Gator Party’s non-Greek base.
This isn’t over. Not by a long shot.